Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 125.535231 146.086783 170.726220 202.990543 244.982496 2.990738e+02 376.316942
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 97.403757 121.423230 153.491227 201.267186 274.274239 3.889771e+02 601.797294
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 83.516568 108.612416 144.484829 202.807433 303.058697 4.881407e+02 927.532957
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 72.155419 96.442327 132.759758 195.473460 312.950027 5.594200e+02 1291.082935
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 67.394279 92.759860 132.601533 206.256707 359.132028 7.376253e+02 2314.784204
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 60.545268 84.767777 123.934981 199.418018 366.702246 8.310757e+02 3389.347153
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 56.293641 80.246624 120.196341 200.770316 393.159212 1.007247e+03 6123.390775
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 52.102043 75.286922 114.879574 197.619089 407.482360 1.164007e+03 11147.367850
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 50.993494 75.272944 118.320119 213.644927 481.710631 1.696622e+03 67492.550198
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 51.112767 77.327140 125.894525 241.293145 612.337147 2.995552e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 48.200307 73.679791 121.779153 239.654645 642.949559 3.768524e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 46.115400 71.321446 119.930962 243.406700 698.690650 5.255736e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 43.069731 67.200608 114.497335 238.018648 721.688371 6.847302e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 40.571782 63.925535 110.536521 236.169302 764.248020 1.000453e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 38.640546 61.525745 108.106645 238.104562 830.972914 1.725185e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 36.170586 57.870272 102.438548 228.855991 828.545680 2.258349e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.389483 57.429147 103.926882 242.467706 987.032288 9.532595e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 33.371713 54.367254 98.994055 233.825809 985.755300 1.746778e+05 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 32.112481 52.730099 97.220690 235.532101 1069.614406 2.602449e+06 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 30.663925 50.601625 94.037405 231.557949 1105.039795 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 30.503790 51.089434 97.246330 251.840237 1415.727743 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 30.865804 52.693844 103.513805 287.239438 2081.082696 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 29.706235 50.958028 100.910441 285.127557 2222.485441 NaN NaN